It’s interesting to read Paul Graham’s Web 2.0 ten years later. Some thoughts:
- The websites Paul most praises—Google, Wikipedia, Reddit—are stronger than ever in 2016.
I’ve noticed for a while that the stuff I read on individual people’s sites is as good as or better than the stuff I read in newspapers and magazines. And now I have independent evidence: the top links on Reddit are generally links to individual people’s sites rather than to magazine articles or news stories.
- This is no longer the case. ☹️ Today’s top stories on Reddit include no individual people’s sites.
Craigslist has largely destroyed the classified ad sites of the 90s, and OkCupid looks likely to do the same to the previous generation of dating sites.
- OkCupid is still one of the most popular.
I wouldn’t be surprised if ten years from now eBay had been supplanted by an ad-supported freeBay (or, more likely, gBay).
- Nope. eBay has fewer and fewer auctions, and more and more people just sell directly, some on eBay and some on competitors like Amazon.
The ultimate target is Microsoft. What a bang that balloon is going to make when someone pops it by offering a free web-based alternative to MS Office. Who will? Google? They seem to be taking their time. I suspect the pin will be wielded by a couple of 20 year old hackers who are too naïve to be intimidated by the idea. (How hard can it be?)
- Google, of course, did come out with the free web-based Google Docs, but Microsoft and their web-based Office 365 are doing fine.